Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 2–0 Lorient · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

Lorient

DDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 2–0.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.710.77
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 beat Lorient 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Lorient): shots 11–13, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.71–0.77, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Lorient 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsStade Brestois 5 shots, Lorient 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.77 xGStade Brestois 1.71 xG, Lorient 0.77 xG
  • Possession42%58%Stade Brestois 42%, Lorient 58%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 7 corners, Lorient 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsStade Brestois 11 fouls, Lorient 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsStade Brestois 2 cards, Lorient 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Pagis · Lorient · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 23′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 50′ · 0.19 xG · goalRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 36′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 77′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG. Lorient: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 50′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 1.73 xG · Lorient 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Brestois
1Draws
2Lorient
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–3
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 14–0
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois21 matchesLorient21 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.29 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.34 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots21/2111.7 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target21/213.86 shots/match
43.7%Possession21/21● 43.9%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners21/213.24 corners/match
1.95 cards/matchCards21/211.86 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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