PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

WWLLD
1–0Full-time recap

Metz

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersMetz
Shots17 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession67%33%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Branco Van den Boomen · Angers · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Camara · Angers · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlpha Touré · Metz · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBranco Van den Boomen · Angers · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBranco Van den Boomen · Angers · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlpha Touré · Metz · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmine Sbai · Angers · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHabibou Diallo · Metz · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBranco Van den Boomen · Angers · 48′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJordan Lefort · Angers · 55′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLouis Mouton · Angers · 86′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 25′ · 0.14 xG · goalGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 57′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 82′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 85′ · 0.23 xG · on targetProsper Peter · Angers · 50′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.59 xG. Metz: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Louis Mouton · Angers · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 1.59 xG · Metz 0.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers have a visible home split

moderate

Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match9.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Angers
1Draws
0Metz
Metz — Angers · Ligue 11–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Metz in 0 · 8 too close

1.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/201.05 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/202.3 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/209 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/2014.8 shots/match
3.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.05 shots/match
5.15 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/206.2 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 20/2048.8%
3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/204 corners/match
5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/205 corners/match
1.4 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 20/201.8 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2010.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2015%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2065%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers8.3
Metz47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers18.5
Metz11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers33.3
Metz6.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers19.4
Metz2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers13.8
Metz13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers13.9
Metz25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers16.6
Metz12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/547.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots10/109.7 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/1049%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

20 / 20 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.05 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/202.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots20/209 shots/match
3.55 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.05 shots/match
42.6%Possession20/2048.8%
3.75 corners/matchCorners20/204 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards20/201.8 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 11 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/111.09 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/112.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots10/118.45 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/112.73 shots/match
45.4%Possession10/1150%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/113.73 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/112.09 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1110.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersMetz
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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