PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Jean BouinFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Angers

LWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricParis FCAngers
Shots8 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Possession63%37%
Corners2 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOtávio · Paris FC · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Paris FC · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlens Arcus · Angers · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlimami Gory · Paris FC · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdama Camara · Paris FC · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmine Sbai · Angers · 5′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 62′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 63′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 86′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.71 xG. Angers: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 0.71 xG · Angers 0.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Paris FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible home split

moderate

Paris FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsParis FC · Angers9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis FCAngersBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match14.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Paris FC
0Draws
1Angers
Angers — Paris FC · Ligue 11–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris FC favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 3 · 5 too close

1.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/191.05 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.32 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/199 shots/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1914.7 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/193.37 shots/match
3.79 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/195.42 shots/match
54.3%Possessionseason · 19/1941.3%
4.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/193.74 corners/match
4.79 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/195.32 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/19▲1.37 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1911.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲32%
74%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1968%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris FC80.6
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris FC33.3
Angers13
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris FC54.6
Angers29.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris FC13.9
Angers19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris FC36.1
Angers13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris FC36.1
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris FC32
Angers13.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.2 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/545%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.9 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1045.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.26 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.32 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots19/199 shots/match
3.42 shots/matchShots on target19/193.37 shots/match
54.3%Possession19/1941.3%
4.26 corners/matchCorners19/193.74 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards19/191.37 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/100.6 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots9/107.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/102.4 shots/match
58.4%Possession9/1039.8%
5.78 corners/matchCorners9/102.8 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/101.2 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls9/109.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.84 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsParis FCAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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