Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC and Olympique de Marseille drew 2–2.

Shots
918
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.762.41
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC and Marseille drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Marseille): shots 9–18, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.76–2.41, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible home split

moderate

Paris FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsParis FC 9 shots, Olympique de Marseille 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsParis FC 4 shots, Olympique de Marseille 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG2.41 xGParis FC 1.76 xG, Olympique de Marseille 2.41 xG
  • Possession51%49%Paris FC 51%, Olympique de Marseille 49%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersParis FC 4 corners, Olympique de Marseille 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsParis FC 12 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsParis FC 1 card, Olympique de Marseille 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOtávio · Paris FC · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Marseille · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Marseille · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Marseille · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Paris FC · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 15′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Marseille · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarshall Munetsi · Paris FC · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNayef Aguerd · Marseille · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Weah · Marseille · 22′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEthan Nwaneri · Marseille · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 82′ · 0.27 xG · goalMarshall Munetsi · Paris FC · 76′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 53′ · 0.64 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 18′ · 0.82 xG · goalIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.81 xG. Marseille: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 82′Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC · 90′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 18′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 1.81 xG · Marseille 2.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paris FC
0Draws
1Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Paris FC · Ligue 15–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC20 matchesOlympique de Marseille20 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.89 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.9 shots/match
54.1%Possession20/20● 59.2%
4.25 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.05 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards20/202.25 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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