PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Newcastle United · UEFA Champions League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United drew 1–1.

Shots
2510
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.581
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain and Newcastle United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Newcastle United): shots 25–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.58–1, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.63 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.5 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Newcastle United13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots21.5 shots/match13 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.9% ●PossessionParis Saint Germain · Newcastle United47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Possession67.9%47.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots10 shotsParis Saint-Germain 25 shots, Newcastle United 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 7 shots, Newcastle United 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG1 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.58 xG, Newcastle United 1 xG
  • Possession67%33%Paris Saint-Germain 67%, Newcastle United 33%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 5 corners, Newcastle United 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsParis Saint-Germain 8 fouls, Newcastle United 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · Newcastle United · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 11′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLewis Miley · Newcastle United · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 8′ · 0.13 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Newcastle United · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.20 xG · goalHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 4′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 25 shots, 7 on target, 2.60 xG. Newcastle United: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Vitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 8′Joe Willock · Newcastle United · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.60 xG · Newcastle United 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
1Newcastle United
Paris Saint-Germain — Newcastle United · UEFA Champions League1–1
Newcastle United — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain8 matchesNewcastle United8 matches
2.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/82.13 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.91 xG/match
21.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/813 shots/match
7.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/86 shots/match
67.9% ●Possession8/847.8%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners8/85 corners/match
8.13 fouls/matchFouls8/88.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainNewcastle United
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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