Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 2–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 2–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
0.850.44
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Strasbourg): shots 15–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 0.85–0.44, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

weak

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsLe Havre 15 shots, RC Strasbourg 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLe Havre 7 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.44 xGLe Havre 0.85 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.44 xG
  • Possession51%49%Le Havre 51%, RC Strasbourg 49%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersLe Havre 9 corners, RC Strasbourg 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsLe Havre 15 fouls, RC Strasbourg 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardLe Havre 2 cards, RC Strasbourg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLoic Négo · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.05 xG · goalTimothee Pembele · Le Havre · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 36′ · 0.06 xG · goalMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStephan Zagadou · Le Havre · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 15 shots, 7 on target, 0.84 xG. Strasbourg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Stephan Zagadou · Le Havre · 26′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 54′Martial Godo · Strasbourg · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.84 xG · Strasbourg 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Le Havre
0Draws
3RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 12–3
Le Havre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–3
Le Havre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre21 matchesRC Strasbourg21 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.29 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.59 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots21/2111.1 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.33 shots/match
46.1%Possession21/21● 51.5%
4.76 corners/match ●Corners21/213.81 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards21/212.24 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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