PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade de l'Abbé DeschampsFull-time recap

Auxerre

LLLLD
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAuxerreParis FC
Shots12 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession49%51%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Moses Simon · Paris FC · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlimami Gory · Paris FC · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 46′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · Auxerre · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLasso Coulibaly · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 87′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Paris FC · 20′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 69′ · 0.33 xG · on targetLamine Sy · Auxerre · 40′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG. Paris FC: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 1.11 xG · Paris FC 0.88 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC have a visible away split

moderate

Paris FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.55 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.55 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%▲PossessionAuxerre · Paris FC54%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreParis FCBaseline
Possession44.6%54%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Auxerre
1Draws
0Paris FC
Paris FC — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Auxerre favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Paris FC in 6 · 7 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.24 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.62 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲11.4 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2111.5 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲3.48 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲3.71 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 21/2154%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/214.24 corners/match
4.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/214.86 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/21▲2.1 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2124%
43%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Auxerre30.6
Paris FC75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Auxerre12
Paris FC28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Auxerre42.6
Paris FC51.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Auxerre41.7
Paris FC8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Auxerre80.6
Paris FC36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Auxerre63.9
Paris FC30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Auxerre41.6
Paris FC27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
1 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3 shots/match
46.4%Possession5/549.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1052.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.24 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots21/21▲11.4 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲3.48 shots/match
44.6%Possession21/2154%
5 corners/matchCorners21/214.24 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCards21/212.1 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.09 goals/match
1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots11/119.55 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target11/113.36 shots/match
42.5%Possession11/1150.5%
5.55 corners/matchCorners11/113 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.01 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAuxerreParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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