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Olympique de Marseille 2–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille and RC Strasbourg drew 2–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.431.97
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Marseille and Strasbourg drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Strasbourg): shots 10–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.43–1.97, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsOlympique de Marseille 10 shots, RC Strasbourg 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 6 shots, RC Strasbourg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.97 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.43 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.97 xG
  • Possession44%56%Olympique de Marseille 44%, RC Strasbourg 56%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersOlympique de Marseille 5 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsOlympique de Marseille 11 fouls, RC Strasbourg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsOlympique de Marseille 4 cards, RC Strasbourg 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ben Chilwell · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGessime Yassine · Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Marseille · 47′ · 0.05 xG · goalTimothy Weah · Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.07 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Marseille · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 76′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIgor Paixão · Marseille · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 39′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Marseille · 39′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLucas Høgsberg · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Marseille · 14′ · 0.31 xG · goalQuinten Timber · Marseille · 50′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 5′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Marseille: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.41 xG. Strasbourg: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mason Greenwood · Marseille · 14′Amine Gouiri · Marseille · 47′Sebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 73′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 1.41 xG · Strasbourg 2.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique de Marseille
3Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille22 matchesRC Strasbourg22 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.64 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.32 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.61 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.1 shots/match
5.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.32 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession22/2251.7%
4.91 corners/match ●Corners22/223.86 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCards22/222.23 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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