PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Lille

LLLLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and Stade Brestois drew 1–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.540.68
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Stade Brestois 29): shots 20–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.54–0.68, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.18 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.18 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Stade Brestois 2911.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleStade Brestois 29Baseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsLille 20 shots, Stade Brestois 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsLille 5 shots, Stade Brestois 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.68 xGLille 1.54 xG, Stade Brestois 0.68 xG
  • Possession70%30%Lille 70%, Stade Brestois 30%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerLille 13 corners, Stade Brestois 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsLille 6 fouls, Stade Brestois 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardLille 0 cards, Stade Brestois 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 33′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 54′ · 0.00 xG · on targetAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSoriba Diaoune · Lille · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Lille · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′ · 0.06 xG · goalDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 18′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSoriba Diaoune · Lille · 20′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 10′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGaëtan Perrin · Lille · 71′ · 0.21 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 57′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gaëtan Perrin · Lille · 71′Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.53 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lille
2Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 13–3
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 12–0
Lille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Brestois — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille22 matchesStade Brestois22 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.32 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.55 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.45 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.7 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.95 shots/match
55% ●Possession22/2243.1%
6.32 corners/match ●Corners22/224.23 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards22/221.91 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLille — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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