PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 1–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nice

LLLLL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice and RC Strasbourg drew 1–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.751.35
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice and Strasbourg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – Strasbourg): shots 19–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.75–1.35, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsNice 19 shots, RC Strasbourg 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsNice 6 shots, RC Strasbourg 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.75 xG1.35 xGNice 2.75 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.35 xG
  • Possession45%55%Nice 45%, RC Strasbourg 55%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersNice 5 corners, RC Strasbourg 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsNice 12 fouls, RC Strasbourg 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsNice 1 card, RC Strasbourg 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Gouveia · Nice · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSamir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEverton Pereira · Nice · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Høgsberg · Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElye Wahi · Nice · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 54′ · 0.07 xG · goalAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Ndombélé · Nice · 19′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBernard Nguene · Nice · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 64′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTanguy Ndombélé · Nice · 70′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Amo-Ameyaw · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 72′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Nice · 24′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 34′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 58′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 58′ · 0.51 xG · on targetSofiane Diop · Nice · 24′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.88 xG. Strasbourg: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Elye Wahi · Nice · 54′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 2.88 xG · Strasbourg 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nice
1Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice17 matchesRC Strasbourg17 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.9 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/174.24 shots/match
47.5%Possession17/17● 52.9%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners17/173.94 corners/match
2.24 cards/matchCards17/172.35 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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