PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 1–3 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 1–3.

Shots
613
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.691.4
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lyon beat Monaco 3–1. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Lyon): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.69–1.4, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsAS Monaco 6 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsAS Monaco 2 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.4 xGAS Monaco 0.69 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 1.4 xG
  • Possession45%55%AS Monaco 45%, Olympique Lyonnais 55%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAS Monaco 7 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsAS Monaco 14 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsAS Monaco 2 cards, Olympique Lyonnais 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTyler Morton · Lyon · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolás Tagliafico · Lyon · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyler Morton · Lyon · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Lyon · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Karabec · Lyon · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPavel Šulc · Lyon · 57′ · 0.07 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 51′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 28′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 79′ · 0.12 xG · goalCaio Henrique · Monaco · 18′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalPavel Šulc · Lyon · 38′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. Lyon: 13 shots, 9 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 45′Pavel Šulc · Lyon · 38′Pavel Šulc · Lyon · 57′Abner Vinícius · Lyon · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 0.48 xG · Lyon 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AS Monaco
0Draws
3Olympique Lyonnais
AS Monaco — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–0
Olympique Lyonnais — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–2
Olympique Lyonnais — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–2
AS Monaco — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1
Olympique Lyonnais — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco17 matchesOlympique Lyonnais17 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.47 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1 goal/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.59 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots17/1712.6 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.76 shots/match
53.2%Possession17/17● 55.7%
4.65 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.18 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards17/172.35 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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