PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 2–1.

Shots
195
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.530.69
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lyon beat Stade Brestois 29 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lyon – Stade Brestois 29): shots 19–5, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.53–0.69, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lyon's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lyon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6% ●PossessionLyon · Stade Brestois 2943.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLyonStade Brestois 29Baseline
Possession56.6%43.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 19 shots, Stade Brestois 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 6 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.69 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.53 xG, Stade Brestois 0.69 xG
  • Possession71%29%Olympique Lyonnais 71%, Stade Brestois 29%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 5 corners, Stade Brestois 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls8 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 18 fouls, Stade Brestois 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsOlympique Lyonnais 2 cards, Stade Brestois 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 25′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEndrick · Lyon · 44′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois 29 · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Lyon · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Lyon · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Morton · Lyon · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Lyon · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Lyon · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Lyon · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbner Vinícius · Lyon · 45′ · 0.04 xG · goalTyler Morton · Lyon · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 41′ · 0.11 xG · goalJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 87′ · 0.11 xG · goalNicolás Tagliafico · Lyon · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 64′ · 0.22 xG · on targetEndrick · Lyon · 39′ · 0.27 xG · on targetTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 56′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 53′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lyon: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.54 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pavel Šulc · Lyon · 41′Abner Vinícius · Lyon · 45′Junior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 1.54 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique Lyonnais
1Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–3
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais18 matchesStade Brestois18 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.49 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.94 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession18/1843.4%
6.11 corners/match ●Corners18/184.28 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards18/181.89 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required