PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 0–2 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Lille

LWWWW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 0–2.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.851.57
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Lille 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Rennes): shots 13–18, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.85–1.57, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Rennes12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleRennesBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsLille 13 shots, Stade Rennais 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLille 3 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.57 xGLille 0.85 xG, Stade Rennais 1.57 xG
  • Possession39%61%Lille 39%, Stade Rennais 61%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersLille 4 corners, Stade Rennais 7 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls14 foulsLille 4 fouls, Stade Rennais 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardLille 1 card, Stade Rennais 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Olivier Giroud · Lille · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Rennes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Verdonk · Lille · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJérémy Jacquet · Rennes · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Rennes · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Rennes · 76′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 3′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 56′ · 0.16 xG · goalPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 49′ · 0.17 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 82′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 36′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 40′ · 0.20 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.84 xG. Rennes: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Przemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 49′Quentin Merlin · Rennes · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 0.84 xG · Rennes 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lille
2Draws
0Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 10–2
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 11–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille17 matchesStade Rennais17 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.41 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.51 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.7 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.53 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession17/1751%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners17/175.41 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards17/172.06 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLille — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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