PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Lille · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

Lille

WWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–0.

Shots
137
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.41.14
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Lille 3–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Lille): shots 13–7, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.4–1.14, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.17 corners/match ●CornersParis Saint Germain · Lille5.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLilleBaseline
Corners6.17 corners/match5.83 corners/match4.57 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Lille14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainLilleBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.44 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsParis Saint-Germain 13 shots, Lille 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 7 shots, Lille 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.14 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.4 xG, Lille 1.14 xG
  • Possession61%39%Paris Saint-Germain 61%, Lille 39%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersParis Saint-Germain 4 corners, Lille 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsParis Saint-Germain 14 fouls, Lille 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardParis Saint-Germain 0 cards, Lille 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Romain Perraud · Lille · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEthan Mbappé · Lille · 6′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.10 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.15 xG · goalNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSoriba Diaoune · Lille · 83′ · 0.23 xG · on targetEthan Mbappé · Lille · 2′ · 0.31 xG · on targetRomain Perraud · Lille · 90′ · 0.42 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.46 xG. Lille: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 13′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 64′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.46 xG · Lille 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
2Draws
0Lille
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 14–1
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 13–1
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain18 matchesLille18 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.83 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.39 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.76 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots18/1814.1 shots/match
6.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.83 shots/match
69.2% ●Possession18/1854.2%
6.17 corners/match ●Corners18/185.83 corners/match
1.11 cards/matchCards18/182.39 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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