PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–3.

Shots
818
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.622.07
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Stade Brestois 29 3–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Paris Saint Germain): shots 8–18, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.62–2.07, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.7%PossessionStade Brestois 29 · Paris Saint Germain● 71.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint GermainBaseline
Possession42.7%71.2%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Stade Brestois 29's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois 29's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Paris Saint Germain16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint GermainBaseline
Shots13 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match9.22 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsStade Brestois 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsStade Brestois 2 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG2.07 xGStade Brestois 1.62 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.07 xG
  • Possession25%75%Stade Brestois 25%, Paris Saint-Germain 75%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 2 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsStade Brestois 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardStade Brestois 1 card, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenny Lala · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 23′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.11 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 73′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 87′ · 0.26 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.32 xG · goalPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 17′ · 0.45 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 59′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.63 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 29′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 39′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 1.63 xG · Paris Saint Germain 2.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Brestois
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · UEFA Champions League7–0
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League0–3
Stade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–5
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois9 matchesParis Saint-Germain9 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2.11 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.74 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 16.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 6.33 shots/match
42.7%Possession9/9● 71.2%
4.44 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/90.89 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/99.78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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