UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2–7Full-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Paris Saint Germain
Shots	6 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.48 xG/match	2.81 xG/match▲
Possession	29%	71%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 6 shots, 3 on target, 2.51 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 24 shots, 8 on target, 2.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.51 xG · Paris Saint Germain 2.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · Paris Saint Germain20.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	20.3 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	8.33 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%▲PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · Paris Saint Germain63.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Possession	46.3%	63.7%	49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Paris Saint Germain in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/34.33 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.64 xG/match

1.73 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.43 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/320.3 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/38.33 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.67 shots/match

46.3%Possessionseason · 3/363.7%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/36.33 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38.33 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen27.8

Paris Saint Germain94.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen38.2

Paris Saint Germain97.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen19.5

Paris Saint Germain85.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen46.3

Paris Saint Germain75.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.7

Paris Saint Germain5.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen53.7

Paris Saint Germain87

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen32.9

Paris Saint Germain71.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲4.33 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.64 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲20.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲9.33 shots/match

46.3%Possession3/363.7%

5 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲4.33 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.64 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲20.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲9.33 shots/match

46.3%Possession3/363.7%

5 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲4.33 goals/match

3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.64 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲20.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲9.33 shots/match

46.3%Possession3/363.7%

5 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4