PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 1–0 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 1–0.

Shots
138
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.010.55
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Stade Brestois 29 1–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Stade Brestois 29): shots 13–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.01–0.55, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Le Havre.

3.07 days ▲Rest daysLe Havre · Stade Brestois 294.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLe HavreStade Brestois 29Baseline
Rest days3.07 days4.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Stade Brestois 29's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsLe Havre 13 shots, Stade Brestois 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsLe Havre 3 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG0.55 xGLe Havre 1.01 xG, Stade Brestois 0.55 xG
  • Possession46%54%Le Havre 46%, Stade Brestois 54%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerLe Havre 5 corners, Stade Brestois 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsLe Havre 12 fouls, Stade Brestois 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsLe Havre 1 card, Stade Brestois 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ayumu Seko · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGodson Kyeremeh · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThomas Delaine · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · Stade Brestois 29 · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois 29 · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · Stade Brestois 29 · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Delaine · Le Havre · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 73′ · 0.07 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGodson Kyeremeh · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois 29 · 89′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.96 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Arouna Sangante · Le Havre · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.96 xG · Stade Brestois 29 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
0Draws
4Stade Brestois
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre10 matchesStade Brestois10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.55 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 3.8 shots/match
44.6% ●Possession10/1043.8%
4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.1 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLe Havre — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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