PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade de l'Abbé DeschampsFull-time recap

Auxerre

LWLLD
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAuxerreLe Havre
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession51%49%
Corners13 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Assane Dioussé · Auxerre · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLasso Coulibaly · Auxerre · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRudy Matondo · Auxerre · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Sierralta · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOussama El Azzouzi · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Auxerre · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArouna Sangante · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 35′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 17′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 27′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 47′ · 0.20 xG · goalAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 74′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG. Le Havre: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.63 xG · Le Havre 1.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Le Havre have a visible away split

moderate

Le Havre's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsAuxerre · Le Havre11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreLe HavreBaseline
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Auxerre favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Le Havre in 7 · 6 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/911 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲10.1 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲3.56 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.11 shots/match
45.4%Possessionseason · 9/944.4%
5.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.89 corners/match
4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.33 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCardsseason · 9/9▲2.11 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/914.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Auxerre36.1
Le Havre30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Auxerre20.4
Le Havre25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Auxerre40.7
Le Havre49.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Auxerre47.2
Le Havre58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Auxerre80.5
Le Havre66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Auxerre63.9
Le Havre19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Auxerre45.8
Le Havre40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
46%Possession5/545%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots9/911 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.56 shots/match
45.4%Possession9/944.4%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.89 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/92.11 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls9/914.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots9/911 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.56 shots/match
45.4%Possession9/944.4%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.89 corners/match
2.78 cards/matchCards9/92.11 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls9/914.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲2.8 shots/match
45%Possession5/539.8%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAuxerreLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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