PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

DLLLD
2–0Full-time recap

Lorient

LDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersLorient
Shots7 shots/match23 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession37%63%
Corners1 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Darlin Yongwa · Lorient · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSambou Soumano · Lorient · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Dermane · Lorient · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 59′ · 0.04 xG · goalArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Cadiou · Lorient · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArsène Kouassi · Lorient · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 21′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 90′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 16′ · 0.49 xG · goalAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 22′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.10 xG. Lorient: 23 shots, 4 on target, 2.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Prosper Peter · Angers · 16′Sidiki Cherif · Angers · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 1.10 xG · Lorient 2.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.89 shots/match▲ShotsAngers · Lorient12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersLorientBaseline
Shots8.89 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match9.89 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Angers have a visible home split

moderate

Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season8.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match8.89 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lorient have recorded the higher season possession share.

37%▲PossessionAngers · Lorient46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersLorientBaseline
Possession37%46.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Lorient in 6 · 5 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/92.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.89 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲12.9 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲9.89 shots/match
2.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲4.33 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲4.11 shots/match
37%Possessionseason · 9/946.3%
4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/93.33 corners/match
5.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.22 corners/match
1.56 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 9/93.11 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Lorient41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers9.3
Lorient46.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers29.6
Lorient45.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers41.7
Lorient75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers22.2
Lorient62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers30.6
Lorient2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers17.4
Lorient34
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
40.6%Possession5/548.2%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.89 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.9 shots/match
2.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
37%Possession9/946.3%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.33 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/93.11 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/911.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.89 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.9 shots/match
2.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
37%Possession9/946.3%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/93.33 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards9/93.11 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls9/911.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
41%Possession5/545.6%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.97 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersLorient
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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