PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 20:05 UTCFull timeStade de la MeinauFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Auxerre

WLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricStrasbourgAuxerre
Shots18 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession64%36%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Fredrik Oppegård · Auxerre · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Amo-Ameyaw · Strasbourg · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedClement Akpa · Auxerre · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · Auxerre · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKendry Páez · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 60′ · 0.06 xG · goalKendry Páez · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Omobamidele · Strasbourg · 39′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Osman · Auxerre · 49′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 50′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 46′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 9′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.32 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 55′ · 0.44 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 19′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 46′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 18 shots, 9 on target, 4.20 xG. Auxerre: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 46′Sebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 55′Valentín Barco · Strasbourg · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 4.20 xG · Auxerre 0.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Strasbourg, Auxerre. A second useful context is: Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Strasbourg, Auxerre.

3.01 days▲Rest daysStrasbourg · Auxerre3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricStrasbourgAuxerreBaseline
Rest days3.01 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Strasbourg have a visible home split

moderate

Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Strasbourg favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Auxerre in 0 · 5 too close

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1010.5 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1012.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.1 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/105 shots/match
50.7%Possessionseason · 10/1044.5%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105 corners/match
4.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/104.6 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/102.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1014 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Strasbourg58.3
Auxerre36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Strasbourg66.7
Auxerre13
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Strasbourg73.1
Auxerre34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Strasbourg25
Auxerre36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg57
Auxerre80.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg13.9
Auxerre58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Strasbourg45.8
Auxerre44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/545.2%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
50.7%Possession10/1044.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
50.7%Possession10/1044.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/544%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Oct 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsStrasbourgAuxerre
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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