PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 2–1.

Shots
87
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.670.49
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lyon beat Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lyon – Strasbourg): shots 8–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.67–0.49, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 8 shots, RC Strasbourg 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 3 shots, RC Strasbourg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.49 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.67 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.49 xG
  • Possession48%52%Olympique Lyonnais 48%, RC Strasbourg 52%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 4 corners, RC Strasbourg 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 15 fouls, RC Strasbourg 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsOlympique Lyonnais 0 cards, RC Strasbourg 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julio Enciso · Strasbourg · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 13′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRachid Ghezzal · Lyon · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Lyon · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 25′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsmael Doukouré · Lyon · 31′ · 0.12 xG · goalAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 35′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 43′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lyon: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.83 xG. Strasbourg: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ismael Doukouré · Lyon · 31′Afonso Moreira · Lyon · 90′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 1.83 xG · Strasbourg 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Olympique Lyonnais
0Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 14–2
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–3
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais9 matchesRC Strasbourg9 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.33 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.83 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots9/911 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession9/949.2%
7.11 corners/match ●Corners9/93.44 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards9/92.67 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls9/912.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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