PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz 2–0 RC Lens · Ligue 1

Metz

LDLLL
2–0Historical match

RC Lens

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Metz won 2–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
3.421.32
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Metz beat Lens 2–0. Recorded in this match (Metz – Lens): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.42–1.32, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Metz, Lens.

3.17 days ▲Rest daysMetz · Lens3.95 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMetzLensBaseline
Rest days3.17 days3.95 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lens have a visible away split

moderate

Lens's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsMetz 16 shots, RC Lens 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsMetz 7 shots, RC Lens 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.42 xG1.32 xGMetz 3.42 xG, RC Lens 1.32 xG
  • Possession46%54%Metz 46%, RC Lens 54%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersMetz 2 corners, RC Lens 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsMetz 15 fouls, RC Lens 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsMetz 3 cards, RC Lens 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gauthier Hein · Metz · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlpha Touré · Metz · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlpha Touré · Metz · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · Metz · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · Lens · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 16′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 48′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Colin · Metz · 38′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Gbamin · Metz · 52′ · 0.22 xG · on targetHabibou Diallo · Metz · 51′ · 0.31 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 7′ · 0.59 xG · on targetHabibou Diallo · Metz · 36′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedGauthier Hein · Metz · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goalGauthier Hein · Metz · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.48 xG. Lens: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Gauthier Hein · Metz · 87′Gauthier Hein · Metz · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 3.48 xG · Lens 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Metz
1Draws
1RC Lens
Metz — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1
RC Lens — Metz · Ligue 10–1
Metz — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
RC Lens — Metz · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz10 matchesRC Lens10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.73 xG/match
8.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession10/1044%
4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.1 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 29 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headMetz — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required