PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Bollaert-Delelis

RC Lens 3–0 Lorient · Ligue 1

RC Lens

DWWWL
3–0Historical match

Lorient

WLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 3–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.091.82
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lens beat Lorient 3–0. Recorded in this match (Lens – Lorient): shots 9–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.09–1.82, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lens, Lorient.

3.93 days ▲Rest daysLens · Lorient3.93 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLensLorientBaseline
Rest days3.93 days3.93 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lens have a visible home split

moderate

Lens's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsRC Lens 9 shots, Lorient 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsRC Lens 6 shots, Lorient 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG1.82 xGRC Lens 2.09 xG, Lorient 1.82 xG
  • Possession58%42%RC Lens 58%, Lorient 42%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersRC Lens 7 corners, Lorient 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsRC Lens 8 fouls, Lorient 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRC Lens 2 cards, Lorient 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Igor Silva · Lorient · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSambou Soumano · Lorient · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · Lens · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIgor Silva · Lorient · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMalang Sarr · Lens · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThéo Le Bris · Lorient · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 2′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 60′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 54′ · 0.20 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 18′ · 0.22 xG · on targetKarim Dermane · Lorient · 50′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 6′ · 0.34 xG · goalSamson Baidoo · Lens · 89′ · 0.44 xG · goalWesley Saïd · Lens · 77′ · 0.78 xG · goalMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 64′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 9 shots, 6 on target, 2.14 xG. Lorient: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 6′Wesley Saïd · Lens · 77′Samson Baidoo · Lens · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 2.14 xG · Lorient 1.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Lens
1Draws
1Lorient
RC Lens — Lorient · Ligue 12–0
Lorient — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
Lorient — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Lorient · Ligue 15–2
Lorient — RC Lens · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens11 matchesLorient11 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112.27 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.4 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots11/1112.1 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession11/1143.7%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners11/113.27 corners/match
2.55 cards/matchCards11/112.73 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensLorient
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Lens — Lorient
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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