PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Pierre-MauroyFull-time recap

Lille

LDWWL
1–0Full-time recap

Angers

LLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLilleAngers
Shots15 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession54%46%
Corners9 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Félix Correia · Lille · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHamza Igamane · Lille · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlens Arcus · Angers · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalFélix Correia · Lille · 51′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 68′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 26′ · 0.32 xG · on targetOlivier Giroud · Lille · 54′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.06 xG. Angers: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Félix Correia · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 2.06 xG · Angers 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsLille · Angers8.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleAngersBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match8.91 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.82 shots/match14.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lille, Angers.

3.93 days▲Rest daysLille · Angers3.84 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLilleAngersBaseline
Rest days3.93 days3.84 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lille favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 4 too close

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.73 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.36 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/118.91 shots/match
9.82 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1114.8 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/112.91 shots/match
3.36 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.55 shots/match
57.6%Possessionseason · 11/1138.2%
7.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.09 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.64 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲1.36 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1110.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lille86.1
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lille88.9
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lille80.6
Angers32.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lille91.7
Angers30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lille66.7
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lille97.2
Angers27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lille87.5
Angers13.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
57%Possession5/540%
8.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match
5.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
58%Possession10/1038.8%
7.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/match▲Shots11/118.91 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.91 shots/match
57.6%Possession11/1138.2%
7.18 corners/matchCorners11/114.09 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards11/111.36 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.5 shots/match▲Shots6/67.67 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
54.7%Possession6/635.8%
6.17 corners/matchCorners6/63.17 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/61 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls6/69 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.93 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.84 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLilleAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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