PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 6–1 Metz · Ligue 1

Lille

WLLDW
6–1Historical match

Metz

DLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 6–1.

Shots
2310
Shots on target
124
Expected goals
2.921.29
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Metz 6–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Metz): shots 23–10, shots on target 12–4, expected goals 2.92–1.29, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Metz7.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleMetzBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match7.44 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.44 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible away split

moderate

Metz's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7.44 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match7.44 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots10 shotsLille 23 shots, Metz 10 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots4 shotsLille 12 shots, Metz 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.92 xG1.29 xGLille 2.92 xG, Metz 1.29 xG
  • Possession62%38%Lille 62%, Metz 38%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersLille 7 corners, Metz 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsLille 18 fouls, Metz 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsLille 3 cards, Metz 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jessy Deminguet · Metz · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamza Igamane · Lille · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Abuashvili · Metz · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHamza Igamane · Lille · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarius Broholm · Lille · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalChancel Mbemba · Lille · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbou Sane · Metz · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Stambouli · Metz · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChancel Mbemba · Lille · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarius Broholm · Lille · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBenjamin André · Lille · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Bokele Mputu · Metz · 62′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRomain Perraud · Lille · 64′ · 0.12 xG · goalAlpha Touré · Metz · 26′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 39′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 10′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSoriba Diaoune · Lille · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 72′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 53′ · 0.21 xG · goalHamza Igamane · Lille · 24′ · 0.27 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 3′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 82′ · 0.52 xG · goalCheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz · 69′ · 0.70 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 23 shots, 12 on target, 2.99 xG. Metz: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hamza Igamane · Lille · 24′Félix Correia · Lille · 34′Félix Correia · Lille · 53′Romain Perraud · Lille · 64′Benjamin André · Lille · 82′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 90′Ibou Sane · Metz · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 2.99 xG · Metz 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lille
2Draws
0Metz
Metz — Lille · Ligue 11–2
Lille — Metz · Ligue 12–0
Lille — Metz · Ligue 10–0
Metz — Lille · Ligue 13–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille9 matchesMetz9 matches
2.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.89 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.95 xG/match
17.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/97.44 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.11 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession9/948.8%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners9/94.22 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards9/91.33 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLille — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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