PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Old Trafford

Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 3–2.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.140.89
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Liverpool 3–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Liverpool): shots 18–13, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.14–0.89, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsManchester United 18 shots, Liverpool 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsManchester United 6 shots, Liverpool 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG0.89 xGManchester United 2.14 xG, Liverpool 0.89 xG
  • Possession38%62%Manchester United 38%, Liverpool 62%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersManchester United 3 corners, Liverpool 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsManchester United 12 fouls, Liverpool 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsManchester United 2 cards, Liverpool 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
3Draws
1Liverpool
Liverpool — Manchester United · Premier League1–2
Liverpool — Manchester United · Premier League2–2
Manchester United — Liverpool · Premier League0–3
Manchester United — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Liverpool — Manchester United · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United35 matchesLiverpool35 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.69 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.34 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.28 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots35/3515.4 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/354.54 shots/match
52.1%Possession35/35● 59.6%
4.69 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.83 corners/match
1.65 cards/matchCards31/291.55 cards/match
9.69 fouls/matchFouls35/359.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headManchester United — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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