PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Villa Park

Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 1–2.

Shots
410
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.251.03
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham beat Aston Villa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Tottenham): shots 4–10, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.25–1.03, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots10 shotsAston Villa 4 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 10 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsAston Villa 0 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG1.03 xGAston Villa 0.25 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 1.03 xG
  • Possession45%55%Aston Villa 45%, Tottenham Hotspur 55%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAston Villa 5 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsAston Villa 12 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsAston Villa 2 cards, Tottenham Hotspur 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Aston Villa
0Draws
2Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · FA Cup1–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Aston Villa · Premier League4–1
Aston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa35 matchesTottenham Hotspur35 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.29 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.54 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.06 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.2 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.94 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession35/3550%
5.17 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.26 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards29/292.76 cards/match
9.89 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAston Villa — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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