PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Anfield

Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Chelsea

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1.

Shots
86
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.560.5
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Chelsea): shots 8–6, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.56–0.5, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.81 corners/matchCornersLiverpool · Chelsea● 6.14 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolChelseaBaseline
Corners5.81 corners/match6.14 corners/match4.96 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots6 shotsLiverpool 8 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsLiverpool 3 shots, Chelsea 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.5 xGLiverpool 0.56 xG, Chelsea 0.5 xG
  • Possession48%52%Liverpool 48%, Chelsea 52%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersLiverpool 5 corners, Chelsea 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsLiverpool 17 fouls, Chelsea 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLiverpool 2 cards, Chelsea 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Liverpool
1Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League2–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League3–1
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League4–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool36 matchesChelsea36 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.53 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.36 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.15 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots36/3613.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target36/364.42 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession36/3658.1%
5.81 corners/matchCorners36/36● 6.14 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards29/292.76 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls36/3611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headLiverpool — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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