Premier League · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 11:30 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap

Liverpool

LWWWL

1–1Full-time recap

Chelsea

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Chelsea
Shots	8 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.53 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.81 corners/match▲CornersLiverpool · Chelsea6.14 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Chelsea	Baseline
Corners	5.81 corners/match	6.14 corners/match	4.96 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool

0Draws

1Chelsea

4 Oct 2025Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Chelsea in 2 · 6 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/361.53 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.36 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.15 xG/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.35 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/3613.7 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲10.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/364.42 shots/match

3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/364.19 shots/match

59.3%Possessionseason · 36/3658.1%

5.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/366.14 corners/match

4.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.25 corners/match

1.55 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/292.76 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3625%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool92.5

Chelsea87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool79.2

Chelsea69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool68.3

Chelsea55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool72.5

Chelsea32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool18.8

Chelsea83.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool77.5

Chelsea92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool65

Chelsea75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

54.4%Possession5/552%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.15 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.6 shots/match

4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match

55.7%Possession10/1057.4%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards3/34.33 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored36/361.53 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.36 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.15 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots36/3613.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target36/364.42 shots/match

59.3%Possession36/3658.1%

5.81 corners/matchCorners36/366.14 corners/match

1.55 cards/matchCards29/292.76 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls36/3611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.72 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.39 goals/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.66 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots18/1811.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target18/184.61 shots/match

58.6%Possession18/1856.4%

5.83 corners/matchCorners18/185.22 corners/match

1.29 cards/matchCards14/153.07 cards/match

9.94 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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