Premier League · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

WLDWL

0–1Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Bournemouth
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.33 xG/match▲	0.82 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	11 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	21 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	1.22 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham

0Draws

1Bournemouth

3 Oct 2025Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 7 · 3 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.56 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.44 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.89 xG/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.4 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲13.8 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 36/3612.5 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲4.75 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/364.22 shots/match

51.5%Possessionseason · 36/3650.2%

4.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/365.61 corners/match

5.53 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲5.22 corners/match

2.16 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 31/312.42 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3612.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲31%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham57.5

Bournemouth52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham30.8

Bournemouth79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham57.5

Bournemouth35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham42.5

Bournemouth87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham60

Bournemouth87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham42.5

Bournemouth72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham41.2

Bournemouth81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

0.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.76 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/548.8%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.89 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.4 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match

51.9%Possession10/1052.9%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.22 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.56 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.44 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.89 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots36/36▲13.8 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲4.75 shots/match

51.5%Possession36/3650.2%

4.86 corners/matchCorners36/365.61 corners/match

2.16 cards/matchCards31/312.42 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.56 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.83 goals/match

1.83 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲1.98 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots18/1812.8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.83 shots/match

53.2%Possession18/1847.4%

5.44 corners/matchCorners18/185.28 corners/match

1.94 cards/matchCards17/152.73 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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