PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Craven Cottage

Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

Fulham

WLDWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 0–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.330.82
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Fulham 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Bournemouth): shots 14–10, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.33–0.82, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsFulham 14 shots, Bournemouth 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFulham 2 shots, Bournemouth 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.82 xGFulham 1.33 xG, Bournemouth 0.82 xG
  • Possession60%40%Fulham 60%, Bournemouth 40%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersFulham 11 corners, Bournemouth 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsFulham 12 fouls, Bournemouth 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsFulham 4 cards, Bournemouth 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fulham
1Draws
3Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham36 matchesBournemouth36 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.44 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.89 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.75 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession36/3650.2%
4.86 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.61 corners/match
2.16 cards/matchCards31/312.42 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFulham — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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