Premier League · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

WWLLW

3–0Full-time recap

Fulham

DWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arsenal	Fulham
Shots	18 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.97 xG/match▲	0.43 xG/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.26 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · Fulham12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Arsenal	Fulham	Baseline
Shots	14.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	8.17 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Arsenal

0Draws

0Fulham

18 Oct 2025Fulham — Arsenal · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 12 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 2 too close

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.26 goals/match

0.74 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.4 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/61.12 xG/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/61.39 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3512.3 shots/match

8.17 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3511.9 shots/match

4.91 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.6 shots/match

2.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/353.94 shots/match

55.7%Possessionseason · 35/3551.3%

5.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/354.69 corners/match

3.29 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/355.63 corners/match

1.33 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 30/302.07 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3510.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

49%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3523%

91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3571%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal82.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal87.5

Fulham34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal97.5

Fulham60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal72.5

Fulham37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal17.5

Fulham60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal77.5

Fulham32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal70

Fulham38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.21 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/548.8%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.12 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.1 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

51.5%Possession10/1050.3%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches

1.91 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.26 goals/match

0.74 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.4 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.12 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots35/3512.3 shots/match

4.91 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.6 shots/match

55.7%Possession35/3551.3%

5.86 corners/matchCorners35/354.69 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards30/302.07 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.89 goals/match

0.61 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match

2.12 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.64 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots18/1810.9 shots/match

5.11 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.28 shots/match

56.3%Possession18/1849.9%

6 corners/matchCorners18/184.28 corners/match

0.93 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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