Premier League · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeBrentford Community StadiumFull-time recap

Brentford

DDDDL

3–0Full-time recap

West Ham

DLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	West Ham
Shots	14 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.06 xG/match▲	0.71 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.49 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford

1Draws

0West Ham

9 Mar 2026West Ham — Brentford · FA Cup2–2

20 Oct 2025West Ham — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 1 · 4 too close

1.49 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.2 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.74 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.94 xG/match

0.92 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.36 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3510.4 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3514.9 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.49 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355.14 shots/match

47.5%Possessionseason · 35/3542.6%

4.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/355 corners/match

5.03 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/356.14 corners/match

1.97 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.86 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3511 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3517%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3566%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford42.5

West Ham7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford44.2

West Ham19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford56.7

West Ham9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford12.5

West Ham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford50

West Ham60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford42.5

West Ham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford38.8

West Ham41.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.02 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match

49%Possession5/545.2%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

49.8%Possession10/1042.3%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 35 matches

1.49 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.2 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.74 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots35/3510.4 shots/match

3.97 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.49 shots/match

47.5%Possession35/3542.6%

4.77 corners/matchCorners35/355 corners/match

1.97 cards/matchCards29/291.86 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3511 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.72 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.78 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.75 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots18/189.94 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.39 shots/match

46.4%Possession18/1843.3%

4 corners/matchCorners18/184.67 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/152 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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