Premier League · 2025Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeOld TraffordFull-time recap

Manchester United

LWDLW

2–1Full-time recap

Brentford

DDDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	Brentford
Shots	11 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.27 xG/match	1.43 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	7 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.44 goals/match	1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsManchester United · Brentford10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Manchester United	Brentford	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	11.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Manchester United

0Draws

1Brentford

27 Sept 2025Brentford — Manchester United · Premier League3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 4 too close

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.44 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.35 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.45 xG/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.96 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3410.5 shots/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3412.4 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/343.91 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 34/343.97 shots/match

52.5%Possessionseason · 34/3447.5%

4.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.85 corners/match

4.97 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/345 corners/match

1.65 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 31/291.97 cards/match

9.62 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲26%

91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3468%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United62.5

Brentford42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United92.5

Brentford43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United67.5

Brentford50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United97.5

Brentford12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United12.5

Brentford52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United42.5

Brentford47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United58.8

Brentford40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.45 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/549.2%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.45 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.9 shots/match

5.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

53.4%Possession10/1049.6%

5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

2.43 cards/matchCards7/51.8 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

1.76 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.44 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.35 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.45 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots34/3410.5 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target34/343.91 shots/match

52.5%Possession34/3447.5%

4.74 corners/matchCorners34/344.85 corners/match

1.65 cards/matchCards31/291.97 cards/match

9.62 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

1.94 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.24 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.59 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

17.1 shots/match▲Shots17/179.47 shots/match

6.82 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.82 shots/match

52.3%Possession17/1748.8%

5.29 corners/matchCorners17/175.59 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards15/152.2 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.31 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match