Premier League · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolCrystal Palace
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.91 xG/match2.32 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners5 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.6%PossessionLiverpool · Crystal Palace46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolCrystal PalaceBaseline
Possession59.6%46.3%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool
0Draws
1Crystal Palace
Crystal PalaceLiverpool · Premier League21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 2 · 6 too close

1.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/331.09 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/331.18 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/41.48 xG/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/40.94 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3311.6 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3311.2 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/333.73 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/334.15 shots/match
59.6%Possessionseason · 34/3346.3%
5.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/334.27 corners/match
4.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/334.79 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/302.2 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3310.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3336%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool92.5
Crystal Palace32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool80.8
Crystal Palace29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool71.7
Crystal Palace69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool77.5
Crystal Palace57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool8.8
Crystal Palace72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool80
Crystal Palace22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool61.9
Crystal Palace41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.48 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/510.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
55.8%Possession5/553.8%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/2
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.48 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.7 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1053.7%
6.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/72.86 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 33 matches
1.68 goals/matchGoals scored34/331.09 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed34/331.18 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.48 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots34/3311.6 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target34/333.73 shots/match
59.6%Possession34/3346.3%
5.94 corners/matchCorners34/334.27 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards29/302.2 cards/match
9.79 fouls/matchFouls34/3310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 16 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/161.25 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.25 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals3/1
17.4 shots/matchShots17/169.94 shots/match
5.12 shots/matchShots on target17/163.69 shots/match
59.2%Possession17/1644.6%
5.88 corners/matchCorners17/164.19 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards14/152.33 cards/match
9.53 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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