Premier League · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeHill Dickinson StadiumFull-time recap

Everton

WWLWD
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEvertonLiverpool
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.8 xG/match1.45 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners1 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/matchShotsEverton · Liverpool15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonLiverpoolBaseline
Shots11 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionEverton · Liverpool59.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonLiverpoolBaseline
Possession43.6%59.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Everton
0Draws
1Liverpool
LiverpoolEverton · Premier League21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 8 · 4 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.64 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.3 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.47 xG/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.33 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3315.7 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3311.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.58 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.82 shots/match
43.6%Possessionseason · 33/3359.8%
4.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/335.97 corners/match
5.12 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.48 corners/match
2.03 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/291.55 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/339.79 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3330%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3388%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton12.5
Liverpool92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton27.5
Liverpool83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton50
Liverpool74.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton67.5
Liverpool77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton45
Liverpool10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton22.5
Liverpool87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton27.5
Liverpool66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.47 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/558.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards1/1
8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.47 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots10/1016.3 shots/match
4.9 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
44.2%Possession10/1055.2%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.9 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.64 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.3 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.47 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots33/3315.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target33/334.58 shots/match
43.6%Possession33/3359.8%
4.21 corners/matchCorners33/335.97 corners/match
2.03 cards/matchCards29/291.55 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls33/339.79 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.47 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.53 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
12.2 shots/matchShots17/1713.6 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target17/173.94 shots/match
47.4%Possession17/1759.9%
5.06 corners/matchCorners17/176 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/151.8 cards/match
9.94 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.85 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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