Premier League · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeLondon StadiumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

Everton

WLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest HamEverton
Shots10 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match1.35 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham
1Draws
0Everton
EvertonWest Ham · Premier League11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Ham favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 8 · 4 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/341.21 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.21 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.11 xG/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.64 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3411 shots/match
14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3413.6 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.65 shots/match
5.12 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.15 shots/match
42.4%Possessionseason · 34/3444%
4.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.21 corners/match
6.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/345.06 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/292.03 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3432%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3474%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham7.5
Everton17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham22.5
Everton25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham9.2
Everton50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham47.5
Everton62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham60
Everton45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham52.5
Everton17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham41.2
Everton25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.11 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
40.6%Possession5/543.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.11 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match
41.7%Possession10/1045.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.21 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.21 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.11 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots34/3411 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target34/343.65 shots/match
42.4%Possession34/3444%
4.97 corners/matchCorners34/344.21 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards29/292.03 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.23 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots17/179.82 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/173.06 shots/match
41.9%Possession17/1740.6%
5.35 corners/matchCorners17/173.35 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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