Premier League · 2025Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceWest Ham
Shots9 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.68 xG/match0.61 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: West Ham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

weak

Crystal Palace's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Ham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Ham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/matchShotsCrystal Palace · West Ham10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceWest HamBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match15 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace
0Draws
0West Ham
West HamCrystal Palace · Premier League12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 2 · 6 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/331.21 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/331.73 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/40.94 xG/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/41.19 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/3310.3 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3315 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/333.48 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/335.18 shots/match
46.3%Possessionseason · 32/3342.3%
4.16 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/335.03 corners/match
4.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/336.33 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/291.86 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3311 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3318%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace32.5
West Ham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace27.5
West Ham21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace69.2
West Ham9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace62.5
West Ham47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace72.5
West Ham60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace17.5
West Ham52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace37.5
West Ham41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/40.94 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/539.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/1
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/40.94 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots10/1010.1 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
53.3%Possession10/1040.2%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCards8/62 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 33 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored32/331.21 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed32/331.73 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/40.94 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots32/3310.3 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target32/333.48 shots/match
46.3%Possession32/3342.3%
4.16 corners/matchCorners32/335.03 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards30/291.86 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls32/3311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.06 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.71 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
13.1 shots/matchShots17/179.76 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target17/173.35 shots/match
47.8%Possession17/1742.8%
4.35 corners/matchCorners17/174.59 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/152 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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