UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWLWL

0–2Full-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

WDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Paris Saint Germain
Shots	21 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.97 xG/match▲	1.09 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	8 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.94 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.94 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season19.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	25.8 shots/match	19.2 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season19.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	19.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.58 corners/match▲CornersLiverpool · Paris Saint Germain5.71 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Corners	6.58 corners/match	5.71 corners/match	4.7 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool

0Draws

2Paris Saint Germain

8 Apr 2026Paris Saint Germain — Liverpool · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Paris Saint Germain in 3 · 6 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/14▲2.71 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/141.21 goals/match

2.48 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/141.97 xG/match

0.95 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/141.24 xG/match

19.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1419.3 shots/match

9.83 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1410.1 shots/match

7.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/147.29 shots/match

3.42 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/143.79 shots/match

52.8%Possessionseason · 12/1466.4%

6.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/145.71 corners/match

3.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/14▲3.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/148.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1436%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool70.2

Paris Saint Germain98.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool88

Paris Saint Germain94.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool89.8

Paris Saint Germain85.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool96.4

Paris Saint Germain60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool61.9

Paris Saint Germain6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool96.4

Paris Saint Germain77.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool86.6

Paris Saint Germain67.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

2.81 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.51 xG/match

21.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match

7.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/56.2 shots/match

50.2%Possession5/561.2%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

2.53 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.77 xG/match

19.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1018.4 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/106.5 shots/match

51%Possession10/1066.7%

6.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls10/108.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 14 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored12/14▲2.71 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/141.21 goals/match

2.48 xG/match▲Expected goals12/141.97 xG/match

19.2 shots/matchShots12/1419.3 shots/match

7.5 shots/matchShots on target12/147.29 shots/match

52.8%Possession12/1466.4%

6.58 corners/matchCorners12/145.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/148.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/72.57 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲1 goals/match

3.38 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.78 xG/match

25.8 shots/match▲Shots6/719.3 shots/match

9.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/76.71 shots/match

54.8%Possession6/764.6%

8.33 corners/matchCorners6/76 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/78.43 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4