Premier League · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeAnfieldFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWLDL

2–0Full-time recap

Fulham

WWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Fulham
Shots	18 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.81 xG/match▲	1.09 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	6 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.34 goals/match	1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.9%▲PossessionLiverpool · Fulham51.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Fulham	Baseline
Possession	59.9%	51.7%	50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool

1Draws

0Fulham

4 Jan 2026Fulham — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 0 · 6 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.34 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.44 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.67 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.25 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3212.5 shots/match

11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3211.8 shots/match

4.53 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.75 shots/match

3.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/323.91 shots/match

59.9%Possessionseason · 32/3251.7%

5.97 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/324.84 corners/match

4.59 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.69 corners/match

1.55 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 29/302.07 cards/match

9.72 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3210.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3219%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool92.5

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool79.2

Fulham43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool72.5

Fulham59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool77.5

Fulham37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool8.8

Fulham57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Fulham47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool63.8

Fulham45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.67 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/515.4 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

57%Possession5/554%

7.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards2/32.33 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.67 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1014.2 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

56.3%Possession10/1052.3%

7.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

1.14 cards/matchCards7/81.5 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.34 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.44 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.67 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots32/3212.5 shots/match

4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.75 shots/match

59.9%Possession32/3251.7%

5.97 corners/matchCorners32/324.84 corners/match

1.55 cards/matchCards29/302.07 cards/match

9.72 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

17.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.3 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.63 shots/match

59.6%Possession16/1649.8%

5.94 corners/matchCorners16/164.38 corners/match

1.29 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match

9.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

21.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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