UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 8 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

DWDWW

2–0Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Liverpool
Shots	18 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	2.35 xG/match▲	0.17 xG/match
Possession	74%	26%
Corners	3 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.14 xG. Liverpool: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.14 xG · Liverpool 0.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season19 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	19 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match▲CornersParis Saint Germain · Liverpool6.45 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Liverpool	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	6.45 corners/match	4.7 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	2.18 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 5 · 6 too close

2.77 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/112.18 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/11▲1 goals/match

2.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/11▲2.52 xG/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/11▲0.94 xG/match

19.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1119 shots/match

9.31 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/119.64 shots/match

7.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/117.73 shots/match

3.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/11▲3.18 shots/match

67.8%Possessionseason · 13/1152.7%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/116.45 corners/match

3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/113.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.38 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1112 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/11▲45%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain98.8

Liverpool70.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain95.2

Liverpool89

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain83.6

Liverpool91.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain65.5

Liverpool96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain6

Liverpool65.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain81

Liverpool96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain68.8

Liverpool87.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.72 xG/match

17.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲19.8 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

67.8%Possession5/548%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/102.1 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match

1.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲2.52 xG/match

19.7 shots/matchShots10/1018.9 shots/match

6.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.9 shots/match

69.1%Possession10/1052.4%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 11 matches

2.77 goals/match▲Goals scored13/112.18 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/11▲1 goals/match

2.04 xG/matchExpected goals13/11▲2.52 xG/match

19.8 shots/matchShots13/1119 shots/match

7.38 shots/matchShots on target13/117.73 shots/match

67.8%Possession13/1152.7%

6 corners/matchCorners13/116.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.38 fouls/matchFouls13/1112 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

2.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.5 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲0.83 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.58 xG/match

19.3 shots/match▲Shots7/612.5 shots/match

7.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/65.33 shots/match

68.1%Possession7/650.7%

5.43 corners/matchCorners7/64.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.57 fouls/matchFouls7/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 8 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4