Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

WWLWW

1–2Full-time recap

Lyon

DDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Lyon
Shots	23 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.88 xG/match▲	0.7 xG/match
Possession	77%	23%
Corners	13 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 23 shots, 6 on target, 2.93 xG. Lyon: 5 shots, 5 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.93 xG · Lyon 0.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lyon's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Lyon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lyon's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Lyon11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Lyon	Baseline
Shots	18 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	8.25 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.21 corners/match▲CornersParis Saint Germain · Lyon5.3 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Lyon	Baseline
Corners	6.21 corners/match	5.3 corners/match	4.6 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Paris Saint Germain

0Draws

0Lyon

9 Nov 2025Lyon — Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 12–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Lyon in 0 · 5 too close

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/301.5 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/301 goals/match

2.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/50.94 xG/match

0.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/51.61 xG/match

18 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/3011.8 shots/match

8.25 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 28/3011.9 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/304.57 shots/match

2.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/303.83 shots/match

69.2%Possessionseason · 28/3054.5%

6.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/305.3 corners/match

2.96 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/304.83 corners/match

1 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/272.19 cards/match

9.71 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/3013.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/3050%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 28/3083%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Lyon80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Lyon62

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Lyon77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain80.6

Lyon13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain5.6

Lyon69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Lyon75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain75

Lyon70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

2.77 xG/match▲Expected goals3/50.94 xG/match

19.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

72.6%Possession5/553%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

0.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match

2.77 xG/match▲Expected goals3/50.94 xG/match

18.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.4 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

69.2%Possession10/1052.8%

6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

0.75 cards/matchCards8/72.29 cards/match

8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 30 matches

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scored28/301.5 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/301 goals/match

2.77 xG/match▲Expected goals3/50.94 xG/match

18 shots/match▲Shots28/3011.8 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on target28/304.57 shots/match

69.2%Possession28/3054.5%

6.21 corners/matchCorners28/305.3 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards26/272.19 cards/match

9.71 fouls/matchFouls28/3013.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 16 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored14/161.38 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/161.25 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.82 xG/match

20.1 shots/match▲Shots14/1610.5 shots/match

7.14 shots/match▲Shots on target14/164.69 shots/match

69.6%Possession14/1652.6%

6.79 corners/matchCorners14/165.06 corners/match

1.08 cards/matchCards12/142.5 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls14/1612.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Lyon's recent record differs from the season

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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