Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade Saint-SymphorienFull-time recap

Metz

LLDDL

1–3Full-time recap

Paris FC

DDWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Metz	Paris FC
Shots	13 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.08 xG/match	1.37 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Metz: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.13 xG. Paris FC: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 1.13 xG · Paris FC 1.52 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible home split

moderate

Metz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.77 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.9 shots/match	9.77 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Metz

0Draws

1Paris FC

31 Aug 2025Paris FC — Metz · Ligue 13–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Metz favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Paris FC in 10 · 2 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.33 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.53 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.44 xG/match

1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.4 xG/match

9.77 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲11.4 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/30▲12.6 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲3.83 shots/match

5.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲4.1 shots/match

49%Possessionseason · 30/3051%

4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.3 corners/match

4.97 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/305.6 corners/match

1.85 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.27 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3010.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲23%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Metz47.2

Paris FC58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Metz13.9

Paris FC44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Metz2.8

Paris FC37.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Metz2.8

Paris FC25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Metz26.3

Paris FC43.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Metz30.6

Paris FC38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Metz20.1

Paris FC35.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.44 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

49%Possession5/543.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.44 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.6 shots/match

49.6%Possession10/1044.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards6/63.17 cards/match

12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.33 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.53 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.44 xG/match

9.77 shots/matchShots30/30▲11.4 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲3.83 shots/match

49%Possession30/3051%

4.13 corners/matchCorners30/304.3 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards26/262.27 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 16 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.13 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲1.31 goals/match

1.68 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.92 xG/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots15/169.69 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target15/163.56 shots/match

50.8%Possession15/1648.7%

4.8 corners/matchCorners15/163.25 corners/match

1.54 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1610.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.93 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

Metz have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match