Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

Lille

WWWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–1.

Shots
710
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.061.71
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Paris FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Lille): shots 7–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.06–1.71, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsParis FC · Lille13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis FCLilleBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match9.42 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsParis FC 7 shots, Lille 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsParis FC 2 shots, Lille 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.71 xGParis FC 1.06 xG, Lille 1.71 xG
  • Possession47%53%Paris FC 47%, Lille 53%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersParis FC 7 corners, Lille 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsParis FC 12 fouls, Lille 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards3 cardsParis FC 6 cards, Lille 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoustapha Mbow · Paris FC · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Ikoné · Paris FC · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoustapha Mbow · Paris FC · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBenjamin André · Lille · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRomain Perraud · Lille · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Paris FC · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlimami Gory · Paris FC · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Paris FC · 74′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRomain Perraud · Lille · 14′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 79′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goalIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 74′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.22 xG. Lille: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 1.22 xG · Lille 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paris FC
0Draws
1Lille
Lille — Paris FC · Ligue 14–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC31 matchesLille31 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.61 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.65 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.58 shots/match
50.8%Possession31/31● 55.3%
4.42 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.61 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards27/272.26 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required