Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Lille

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1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and Le Havre drew 1–1.

Shots
222
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
1.550.14
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and Le Havre drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Le Havre): shots 22–2, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 1.55–0.14, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Le Havre11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against9.19 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionLille · Le Havre46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleLe HavreBaseline
Possession55.7%46.9%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots2 shotsLille 22 shots, Le Havre 2 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsLille 10 shots, Le Havre 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.14 xGLille 1.55 xG, Le Havre 0.14 xG
  • Possession67%33%Lille 67%, Le Havre 33%
  • Corners14 corners5 cornersLille 14 corners, Le Havre 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsLille 9 fouls, Le Havre 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLille 2 cards, Le Havre 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCalvin Verdonk · Lille · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNathan Ngoy · Lille · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Ngoy · Lille · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Lille · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Lille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Lille · 69′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 47′ · 0.08 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.09 xG · goalGaëtan Perrin · Lille · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 21′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNathan Ngoy · Lille · 53′ · 0.15 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 29′ · 0.18 xG · goalMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 58′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 22 shots, 10 on target, 1.53 xG. Le Havre: 2 shots, 2 on target, 0.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 29′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.53 xG · Le Havre 0.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lille
0Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–2
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–3
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille32 matchesLe Havre32 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.34 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.11 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.1 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.69 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession32/3246.9%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners32/324.41 corners/match
2.26 cards/matchCards27/282 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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