Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeStade Pierre-MauroyFull-time recap

Lille

WWWDW

1–1Full-time recap

Le Havre

LDDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lille	Le Havre
Shots	22 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.46 xG/match▲	0.14 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	14 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lille: 22 shots, 10 on target, 1.53 xG. Le Havre: 2 shots, 2 on target, 0.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.53 xG · Le Havre 0.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.94 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsLille · Le Havre11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lille	Le Havre	Baseline
Shots	13.9 shots/match	11 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	9.19 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.6%▲PossessionLille · Le Havre46.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lille	Le Havre	Baseline
Possession	55.6%	46.9%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lille

0Draws

0Le Havre

30 Nov 2025Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lille favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Le Havre in 1 · 2 too close

1.59 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.94 goals/match

1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.34 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.21 xG/match

0.67 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.54 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3211 shots/match

9.19 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3213.2 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.63 shots/match

3.31 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.28 shots/match

55.6%Possessionseason · 32/3246.9%

5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/324.38 corners/match

3.81 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/324.97 corners/match

2.26 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/28▲2 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3213.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3222%

72%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3259%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lille86.1

Le Havre41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lille71.3

Le Havre26

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lille88

Le Havre50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lille58.3

Le Havre36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lille43

Le Havre62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lille86.1

Le Havre38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lille63.9

Le Havre48

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.29 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60.2%Possession5/548.6%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.21 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.1 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

57.2%Possession10/1049.9%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/62.33 cards/match

9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.59 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match

1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.34 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.21 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots32/3211 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.63 shots/match

55.6%Possession32/3246.9%

5.88 corners/matchCorners32/324.38 corners/match

2.26 cards/matchCards27/282 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.63 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match

1.84 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.23 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots16/169.81 shots/match

4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.25 shots/match

55.8%Possession16/1647.2%

6.5 corners/matchCorners16/163.81 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards13/142.36 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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