Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade de la MeinauFull-time recap

Strasbourg

DDDWW

0–3Full-time recap

Rennes

WLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Strasbourg	Rennes
Shots	8 shots/match	26 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.76 xG/match	3.48 xG/match▲
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Strasbourg: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.73 xG. Rennes: 26 shots, 9 on target, 3.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 0.73 xG · Rennes 3.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rennes's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rennes's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.6 shots/match	14 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	14 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Strasbourg

0Draws

1Rennes

2 Nov 2025Rennes — Strasbourg · Ligue 14–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Strasbourg favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Rennes in 6 · 6 too close

1.59 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/30▲1.73 goals/match

1.28 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/301.37 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/52 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.04 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/30▲14 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/3012.6 shots/match

4.52 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/30▲4.93 shots/match

4.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/30▲3.9 shots/match

53.5%Possessionseason · 29/3053.4%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/305.8 corners/match

4.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/304.5 corners/match

2.16 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/25▲1.92 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3012.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/30▲33%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/3080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Strasbourg75

Rennes69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Strasbourg58.3

Rennes79.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Strasbourg60.2

Rennes53.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Strasbourg8.3

Rennes86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg38.9

Rennes33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg25

Rennes86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Strasbourg40.3

Rennes72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲2 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.6 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match

61.6%Possession5/558.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/58 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲2 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.4 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.5 shots/match

55%Possession10/1055.7%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards6/51.6 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 30 matches

1.59 goals/matchGoals scored29/30▲1.73 goals/match

1.28 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/301.37 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲2 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots29/30▲14 shots/match

4.52 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲4.93 shots/match

53.5%Possession29/3053.4%

4 corners/matchCorners29/305.8 corners/match

2.16 cards/matchCards25/251.92 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/3012.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.73 goals/match

0.87 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12 shots/matchShots15/1511.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.33 shots/match

52.5%Possession15/1552.5%

4.6 corners/matchCorners15/155.2 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards12/132.08 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.84 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

Rennes have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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