Ligue 1 · 2025Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeParc des PrincesFull-time recap

Paris Saint Germain

WLWWL

3–0Full-time recap

Nantes

LLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Nantes
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.15 xG/match▲	0.87 xG/match
Possession	70%	30%
Corners	7 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.16 xG. Nantes: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.16 xG · Nantes 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain, Nantes. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Nantes10.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Nantes	Baseline
Shots	17.8 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	8.34 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain, Nantes.

2.93 days▲Rest daysParis Saint Germain · Nantes3.07 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Paris Saint Germain	Nantes	Baseline
Rest days	2.93 days	3.07 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Paris Saint Germain

0Draws

0Nantes

17 Aug 2025Nantes — Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 10–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Paris Saint Germain favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Nantes in 0 · 4 too close

2.24 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/300.83 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/301.63 goals/match

2.61 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.07 xG/match

0.49 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.53 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/3010.6 shots/match

8.34 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/3013.4 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/303.07 shots/match

2.9 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/304.73 shots/match

69.2%Possessionseason · 29/3042.3%

6.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/303.47 corners/match

3.07 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/305.53 corners/match

1 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/272.07 cards/match

9.76 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/3012.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/3020%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/3057%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Nantes8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Nantes10.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Nantes20.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris Saint Germain80.6

Nantes63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain5.6

Nantes47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris Saint Germain97.2

Nantes8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris Saint Germain75

Nantes20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

2.61 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.07 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

73%Possession5/538%

7.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

2.61 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.07 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.2 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

69.3%Possession10/1040.1%

6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match

0.71 cards/matchCards7/72.43 cards/match

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 30 matches

2.24 goals/match▲Goals scored29/300.83 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/301.63 goals/match

2.61 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.07 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shots29/3010.6 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on target29/303.07 shots/match

69.2%Possession29/3042.3%

6.24 corners/matchCorners29/303.47 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards26/272.07 cards/match

9.76 fouls/matchFouls29/3012.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

2.53 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.47 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.92 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots15/159.4 shots/match

7.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.8 shots/match

69.6%Possession15/1540.9%

6.8 corners/matchCorners15/153.13 corners/match

1.08 cards/matchCards12/132.23 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.93 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.07 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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