PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 3–3 RC Lens · Ligue 1

3–3Historical match

RC Lens

WLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois and RC Lens drew 3–3.

Shots
625
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.252.76
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois 29 and Lens drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Lens): shots 6–25, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.25–2.76, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five shots average is above their season average.

23.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots23.4 shots/match16.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Lens16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29LensBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match16.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible home split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots25 shotsStade Brestois 6 shots, RC Lens 25 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 3 shots, RC Lens 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG2.76 xGStade Brestois 0.25 xG, RC Lens 2.76 xG
  • Possession36%64%Stade Brestois 36%, RC Lens 64%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersStade Brestois 0 corners, RC Lens 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsStade Brestois 7 fouls, RC Lens 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsStade Brestois 3 cards, RC Lens 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 8′ · 0.01 xG · goalMamadou Sangare · Lens · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Lens · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · Stade Brestois 29 · 24′ · 0.05 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Lens · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 42′ · 0.08 xG · goalMamadou Sangare · Lens · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 60′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 60′ · 0.14 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Lens · 64′ · 0.17 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Lens · 57′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 87′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSaud Abdulhamid · Lens · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Lens · 57′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 48′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.22 xG. Lens: 25 shots, 7 on target, 3.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Daouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 8′Lucas Tousart · Stade Brestois 29 · 24′Junior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 42′Florian Thauvin · Lens · 60′Abdallah Sima · Lens · 64′Allan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 0.22 xG · Lens 3.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
0Draws
4RC Lens
RC Lens — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Brestois — RC Lens · Ligue 11–3
RC Lens — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
RC Lens — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
Stade Brestois — RC Lens · Ligue 13–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois30 matchesRC Lens30 matches
1.37 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.02 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 5.53 shots/match
42.9%Possession30/30● 51.3%
3.83 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.07 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards27/262.08 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headStade Brestois — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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