Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

LLDLD
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersParis Saint Germain
Shots5 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match10 shots/match
Expected goals0.26 xG/match2.99 xG/match
Possession28%72%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match3 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jacques Ekomie · Angers · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Hanin · Angers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLanroy Machine · Angers · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 7′ · 0.16 xG · on targetProsper Peter · Angers · 60′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLucas Beraldo · Paris Saint Germain · 52′ · 0.44 xG · goalKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 8′ · 0.48 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.50 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.44 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 17 shots, 10 on target, 3.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 8′Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 39′Lucas Beraldo · Paris Saint Germain · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.44 xG · Paris Saint Germain 3.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.23 shots/matchShotsAngers · Paris Saint Germain17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots9.23 shots/match17.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match8.23 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain.

7 daysRest daysAngers · Paris Saint Germain3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAngersParis Saint GermainBaseline
Rest days7 days3 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Angers
0Draws
1Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint GermainAngers · Ligue 110

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Paris Saint Germain in 12 · 2 too close

0.84 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/302.27 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/300.83 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/52.69 xG/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/50.45 xG/match
9.23 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3017.8 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/308.23 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/306.97 shots/match
5.26 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/302.83 shots/match
42%Possessionseason · 31/3069.3%
3.61 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/306.17 corners/match
5.32 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/303.13 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/271.07 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/309.53 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3053%
61%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3093%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers2.8
Paris Saint Germain97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers12
Paris Saint Germain97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers23.1
Paris Saint Germain97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers19.4
Paris Saint Germain80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers16.6
Paris Saint Germain2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers13.9
Paris Saint Germain97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers15.3
Paris Saint Germain73.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.69 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots5/517.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/57.8 shots/match
37.6%Possession5/573%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards2/2
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/56.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.5 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals6/52.69 xG/match
8.6 shots/matchShots10/1018.9 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/107.4 shots/match
40%Possession10/1069.7%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/71 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/108.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 30 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored31/302.27 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed31/300.83 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals6/52.69 xG/match
9.23 shots/matchShots31/3017.8 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target31/306.97 shots/match
42%Possession31/3069.3%
3.61 corners/matchCorners31/306.17 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards27/271.07 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls31/309.53 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/152 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151 goals/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals4/2
10.1 shots/matchShots16/1515.9 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/156.87 shots/match
43.8%Possession16/1569.1%
4.38 corners/matchCorners16/155.53 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards14/151.07 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls16/159 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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