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Ligue 1 · 2025Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse 2–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse and AS Monaco drew 2–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.750.74
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse and Monaco drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Monaco): shots 18–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.75–0.74, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

weak

Toulouse's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Toulouse have a visible home split

moderate

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%PossessionToulouse · Monaco● 53.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricToulouseMonacoBaseline
Possession42.2%53.2%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsToulouse 18 shots, AS Monaco 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsToulouse 5 shots, AS Monaco 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG0.74 xGToulouse 1.75 xG, AS Monaco 0.74 xG
  • Possession51%49%Toulouse 51%, AS Monaco 49%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersToulouse 4 corners, AS Monaco 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsToulouse 17 fouls, AS Monaco 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsToulouse 3 cards, AS Monaco 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Vossah · Toulouse · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPape Diop · Toulouse · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 18′ · 0.06 xG · goalAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Monaco · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Cresswell · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJacen Russell-Rowe · Toulouse · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 89′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJacen Russell-Rowe · Toulouse · 41′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 6′ · 0.22 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Monaco · 14′ · 0.23 xG · on targetEmersonn · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalJacen Russell-Rowe · Toulouse · 61′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.65 xG. Monaco: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jacen Russell-Rowe · Toulouse · 61′Emersonn · Toulouse · 90′Jordan Teze · Monaco · 6′Lamine Camara · Monaco · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 1.65 xG · Monaco 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Toulouse
1Draws
3AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Toulouse · Ligue 11–0
Toulouse — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–1
AS Monaco — Toulouse · Ligue 12–0
AS Monaco — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse31 matchesAS Monaco31 matches
1.39 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.74 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.52 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.74 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots31/3112.4 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target31/314.42 shots/match
42.2%Possession31/31● 53.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.9 corners/match
2.37 cards/matchCards27/262.58 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3113 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headToulouse — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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