Premier League · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadium of LightFull-time recap

Sunderland

WWLLD

0–0Full-time recap

Manchester United

DLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sunderland	Manchester United
Shots	15 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.25 xG/match▲	0.62 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	6 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sunderland's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sunderland's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sunderland's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsSunderland · Manchester United15.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sunderland	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	14.5 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sunderland

0Draws

1Manchester United

4 Oct 2025Manchester United — Sunderland · Premier League2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sunderland favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Manchester United in 8 · 4 too close

1.03 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.75 goals/match

1.28 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.33 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.2 xG/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.43 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲15.4 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲11.6 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲5.58 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲3.75 shots/match

44.7%Possessionseason · 36/3652%

3.61 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/364.75 corners/match

5.28 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲4.92 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/31▲1.65 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/369.75 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3619%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sunderland22.5

Manchester United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sunderland12.5

Manchester United92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sunderland32.5

Manchester United71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sunderland22.5

Manchester United97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sunderland57.5

Manchester United12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sunderland12.5

Manchester United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sunderland21.2

Manchester United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.16 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/545%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.2 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.7 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

46.6%Possession10/1049.1%

4.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.03 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.75 goals/match

1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.33 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.2 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots36/36▲15.4 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲5.58 shots/match

44.7%Possession36/3652%

3.61 corners/matchCorners36/364.75 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards30/311.65 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls36/369.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.5 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.89 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots18/18▲13.6 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.39 shots/match

46.2%Possession18/1852.6%

3.78 corners/matchCorners18/184.33 corners/match

2.07 cards/matchCards14/161.5 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls18/189.17 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.98 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sunderland's recent record differs from the season

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match