Premier League · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeAmex StadiumFull-time recap

Brighton

LWWLW

2–1Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton	Liverpool
Shots	16 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.3 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	5 cards/match	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton · Liverpool15.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brighton

0Draws

2Liverpool

14 Feb 2026Liverpool — Brighton · FA Cup3–0

13 Dec 2025Liverpool — Brighton · Premier League2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brighton favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 7 · 6 too close

1.32 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.61 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.35 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲15.7 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲11.1 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.52 shots/match

3.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/313.81 shots/match

52.8%Possessionseason · 31/3160.1%

4.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/315.97 corners/match

4.84 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.45 corners/match

2.48 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.55 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/319.71 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲29%

77%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton67.5

Liverpool97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton55.8

Liverpool79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton62.5

Liverpool72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton47.5

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton90

Liverpool8.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton42.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton65

Liverpool63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

52.2%Possession5/557%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲17.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

54.7%Possession10/1058.3%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/107.7 corners/match

2.13 cards/matchCards8/81.13 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.32 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.61 goals/match

1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.35 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.8 shots/matchShots31/31▲15.7 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on target31/314.52 shots/match

52.8%Possession31/3160.1%

4.74 corners/matchCorners31/315.97 corners/match

2.48 cards/matchCards29/291.55 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls31/319.71 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.44 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.56 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.8 shots/matchShots16/1613.6 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.81 shots/match

54.3%Possession16/1660.1%

5.06 corners/matchCorners16/166 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards15/151.8 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/169.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4